1 00:00:00.000 --> 00:00:02.750 Welcome back in the second session 2 00:00:02.750 --> 00:00:05.000 of the industry analysis 3 00:00:05.000 --> 00:00:08.000 While in the second session of the industry analysis, 4 00:00:08.050 --> 00:00:10.750 we are going to apply 5 00:00:10.750 --> 00:00:14.300 the industry structure framework 6 00:00:14.300 --> 00:00:16.550 to the real-world case 7 00:00:16.550 --> 00:00:20.550 And also, we are going to find out 8 00:00:20.550 --> 00:00:24.500 any unique market position in a given industry 9 00:00:25.750 --> 00:00:30.550 Finding market position in a given industry is also very important, 10 00:00:30.750 --> 00:00:34.800 and this session will be very helpful for you as an entrepreneur 11 00:00:35.350 --> 00:00:38.500 Michael Porter said it again 12 00:00:38.729 --> 00:00:39.729 He said 13 00:00:39.950 --> 00:00:43.250 strategy can be viewed as 14 00:00:43.250 --> 00:00:46.800 building defense against the competitive forces 15 00:00:47.000 --> 00:00:48.850 or 16 00:00:48.850 --> 00:00:51.700 as finding a position 17 00:00:51.700 --> 00:00:56.000 in an industry where the forces are weakest 18 00:00:56.000 --> 00:00:57.900 Again 19 00:00:57.900 --> 00:01:01.000 once the industry structure is established 20 00:01:01.000 --> 00:01:03.850 then the relationship 21 00:01:03.850 --> 00:01:06.000 is surprisingly sticky 22 00:01:06.000 --> 00:01:10.000 So as an individual company, 23 00:01:10.000 --> 00:01:13.750 it is almost impossible to change 24 00:01:13.750 --> 00:01:17.500 the given relationship in a given industry 25 00:01:19.000 --> 00:01:23.000 The only thing that you can do as a startup 26 00:01:23.000 --> 00:01:25.400 is to find out some kind of 27 00:01:25.400 --> 00:01:28.450 very unique position in a given industry 28 00:01:28.450 --> 00:01:31.000 where the forces are weakest 29 00:01:31.000 --> 00:01:35.000 Then you can gain competitive advantage 30 00:01:35.000 --> 00:01:38.650 Although you are in a declining or 31 00:01:38.900 --> 00:01:41.450 not profitable industry, 32 00:01:41.450 --> 00:01:44.400 if you are able to find out a unique position, 33 00:01:44.400 --> 00:01:47.000 then you can gain competitive advantage 34 00:01:47.000 --> 00:01:51.000 This is what we can do as a startup 35 00:01:53.000 --> 00:01:57.000 Let's look at the early personal computer industry together 36 00:01:57.900 --> 00:02:00.300 The personal computer industry 37 00:02:00.300 --> 00:02:03.250 was a dynamic and fast-growing business 38 00:02:04.300 --> 00:02:07.300 The personal computer industry just started from 39 00:02:07.300 --> 00:02:09.950 the late 1970s 40 00:02:09.950 --> 00:02:14.000 Then this industry grew dramatically 41 00:02:14.000 --> 00:02:20.000 This graph illustrates the personal computer market size from 1982 to 1998 42 00:02:20.000 --> 00:02:22.000 As you can see in the graph, 43 00:02:22.000 --> 00:02:26.250 you feel that the industry itself grew dramatically 44 00:02:26.300 --> 00:02:31.000 This yellow line represents the worldwide personal computer market 45 00:02:31.000 --> 00:02:33.000 and the personal computer industry 46 00:02:33.000 --> 00:02:36.100 The blue line illustrates 47 00:02:36.100 --> 00:02:39.400 the US alone personal computer industry 48 00:02:42.000 --> 00:02:44.400 But by the early 1980s, 49 00:02:44.400 --> 00:02:47.550 the personal computer industry was in chaos 50 00:02:47.550 --> 00:02:49.700 without any market standard 51 00:02:49.700 --> 00:02:51.000 There was no standard 52 00:02:51.000 --> 00:02:56.000 Different companies produced different types of personal computers 53 00:02:56.000 --> 00:02:58.500 There are a bunch of different types of 54 00:02:58.500 --> 00:03:02.000 personal computers out there in the market, in the industry 55 00:03:02.000 --> 00:03:04.000 Look at these pictures 56 00:03:04.000 --> 00:03:09.000 The first picture is Altea 8800 57 00:03:09.000 --> 00:03:13.850 Altea 8800 is the first personal computer 58 00:03:13.850 --> 00:03:18.000 developed and invented by Ed Roberts 59 00:03:18.000 --> 00:03:21.800 Ed Roberts can be considered 60 00:03:21.800 --> 00:03:24.000 the father of the personal computer 61 00:03:24.000 --> 00:03:28.000 He founded the company MITS 62 00:03:28.000 --> 00:03:31.000 MITS has nothing to do with MIT University 63 00:03:31.000 --> 00:03:35.000 But anyway, he established MITS as a company 64 00:03:35.000 --> 00:03:39.200 And then he produced some kind of DIY toolkit 65 00:03:39.250 --> 00:03:40.700 of the personal computer 66 00:03:40.700 --> 00:03:42.000 It looks like a machine 67 00:03:42.000 --> 00:03:45.000 Not too many people understand what it is, 68 00:03:45.000 --> 00:03:47.000 but only a few hobbyists understand 69 00:03:47.000 --> 00:03:51.000 And they were enthusiastic on the personal computer 70 00:03:52.000 --> 00:03:53.850 One of them is 71 00:03:53.850 --> 00:03:55.000 Bill Gates 72 00:03:55.650 --> 00:03:59.250 Bill Gates was passionate about personal computers 73 00:03:59.250 --> 00:04:02.500 So he tried to develop some 74 00:04:02.500 --> 00:04:08.000 running software for Altea 8800 75 00:04:08.000 --> 00:04:12.550 So when he saw the news of Altea 8800 76 00:04:12.550 --> 00:04:15.750 through the computer magazine at Harvard University, 77 00:04:15.800 --> 00:04:20.100 then he quit his study and 78 00:04:20.100 --> 00:04:23.650 went to Albuquerque, New Mexico, 79 00:04:23.650 --> 00:04:26.350 where MITS is located 80 00:04:26.350 --> 00:04:29.500 So he started his company, Microsoft 81 00:04:29.500 --> 00:04:33.550 to supply the software to Altea 8800 82 00:04:33.550 --> 00:04:38.850 So Ed Roberts, who is the founder of Altea 8800, 83 00:04:39.100 --> 00:04:41.700 later became a medical doctor 84 00:04:41.700 --> 00:04:44.000 It was a very interesting career path 85 00:04:44.000 --> 00:04:47.500 Anyway, look at the picture in the middle 86 00:04:47.500 --> 00:04:51.350 This is Apple II, which is the best-selling computer 87 00:04:51.350 --> 00:04:54.000 in the early personal computer industry 88 00:04:54.000 --> 00:04:56.000 You know who made Apple II? 89 00:04:56.000 --> 00:04:58.300 Yes, of course, Steve Jobs 90 00:04:58.300 --> 00:05:02.000 and Steve Wozniak made Apple I and Apple II 91 00:05:02.000 --> 00:05:06.800 Basically, they made the first Apple I personal computer 92 00:05:06.800 --> 00:05:10.000 in Steve Jobs' mom's garage 93 00:05:10.000 --> 00:05:15.000 And he asked his friends to assemble 50 of them 94 00:05:15.000 --> 00:05:19.300 And then they sold the first Apple I computer 95 00:05:19.300 --> 00:05:22.000 to the nearby computer stores 96 00:05:22.000 --> 00:05:26.000 Okay, this is the start of the Apple computers 97 00:05:26.000 --> 00:05:27.000 This is Apple II 98 00:05:27.000 --> 00:05:31.000 Later, they raised outside venture capital fund 99 00:05:31.000 --> 00:05:36.000 Then they assembled the Apple II 100 00:05:36.000 --> 00:05:40.000 So they sold a lot of Apple II computers 101 00:05:40.000 --> 00:05:43.000 And thanks to the success of Apple II, 102 00:05:43.000 --> 00:05:45.650 the Apple computer went to IPO 103 00:05:45.650 --> 00:05:49.150 within four or five years later 104 00:05:50.400 --> 00:05:55.000 Then the last picture is IBM 5150 105 00:05:55.000 --> 00:05:58.600 Well, traditionally, IBM was a computer company, 106 00:05:58.600 --> 00:06:02.600 but their computers were not personal usage computers 107 00:06:03.000 --> 00:06:07.000 Their computers were the workstation computers 108 00:06:07.000 --> 00:06:09.350 Workstation computer means 109 00:06:09.350 --> 00:06:13.400 it's a very big computer for 110 00:06:13.400 --> 00:06:15.000 not for the individual 111 00:06:15.000 --> 00:06:19.000 but for the company, but for the university 112 00:06:19.000 --> 00:06:20.500 So at that time 113 00:06:20.500 --> 00:06:24.550 each university has one or two workstation computers 114 00:06:24.550 --> 00:06:26.000 Okay, think about it 115 00:06:26.000 --> 00:06:27.000 Really big 116 00:06:27.000 --> 00:06:30.400 And IBM acquired 117 00:06:30.400 --> 00:06:33.550 tons of market share out of those types of industries 118 00:06:33.550 --> 00:06:35.000 So IBM was a computer company, 119 00:06:35.000 --> 00:06:38.050 but IBM did not consider 120 00:06:38.050 --> 00:06:41.000 personal usage computers 121 00:06:41.000 --> 00:06:43.000 But IBM felt that, 122 00:06:43.000 --> 00:06:44.600 wait a minute 123 00:06:44.600 --> 00:06:48.000 there are many personal computer companies out there 124 00:06:48.000 --> 00:06:50.050 And Apple, for example, 125 00:06:50.050 --> 00:06:53.000 already started the personal computer industry, 126 00:06:53.000 --> 00:06:56.750 and they dominated the market share 127 00:06:56.800 --> 00:07:01.050 So it's kind of late for us 128 00:07:01.050 --> 00:07:02.151 to jump in this market 129 00:07:02.151 --> 00:07:03.951 So we should be in a hurry 130 00:07:04.000 --> 00:07:07.800 So IBM, because they have technology, 131 00:07:07.800 --> 00:07:09.300 they have a team, they have money, 132 00:07:09.300 --> 00:07:13.700 they quickly made a team for the personal computer market 133 00:07:13.700 --> 00:07:18.000 So they developed new types of personal computers very quickly 134 00:07:18.000 --> 00:07:22.350 So this is IBM's first personal computer, 135 00:07:22.350 --> 00:07:24.950 which is IBM 5150 136 00:07:25.000 --> 00:07:29.150 So IBM 5150 adopted MS-DOS 137 00:07:29.150 --> 00:07:30.650 as an operating system 138 00:07:30.700 --> 00:07:33.900 and also adopted Intel microprocessor 139 00:07:33.900 --> 00:07:35.700 as a main chip 140 00:07:37.450 --> 00:07:43.000 Well, this IBM 5150 achieved huge success 141 00:07:43.000 --> 00:07:47.000 I will explain in more detail about it 142 00:07:47.000 --> 00:07:50.000 You know, this is IBM 5150 143 00:07:50.000 --> 00:07:55.000 IBM launched this personal computer in 1981, 144 00:07:55.000 --> 00:07:57.600 and it targeted 240,000 units 145 00:07:57.600 --> 00:07:59.550 sold within five years 146 00:07:59.550 --> 00:08:02.450 But the result was it sold out within one week 147 00:08:02.450 --> 00:08:05.800 It means that there are so many, so many consumers 148 00:08:05.800 --> 00:08:09.400 already waiting for the IBM 5150 149 00:08:09.400 --> 00:08:13.000 It was a jackpot, a huge success 150 00:08:13.700 --> 00:08:16.050 And then one year later, 151 00:08:16.050 --> 00:08:19.000 Time magazine covered this story 152 00:08:19.600 --> 00:08:23.000 And then they said that this is the machine of the year 153 00:08:23.000 --> 00:08:25.300 For the first time, 154 00:08:25.300 --> 00:08:29.459 Time magazine announced the machine 155 00:08:29.559 --> 00:08:30.800 on the cover story 156 00:08:34.400 --> 00:08:36.400 However, think about it 157 00:08:36.400 --> 00:08:41.000 PC makers come to suffer from low profitability 158 00:08:41.000 --> 00:08:44.600 Although the market was growing dramatically, 159 00:08:45.000 --> 00:08:46.900 the computer makers 160 00:08:46.900 --> 00:08:51.000 suffer from low profitability 161 00:08:51.000 --> 00:08:53.000 Isn't it interesting? 162 00:08:53.000 --> 00:08:55.000 So why is this happening? 163 00:08:55.000 --> 00:08:57.700 So the first reason was 164 00:08:57.700 --> 00:09:02.000 because of the huge success of IBM 5150, 165 00:09:02.000 --> 00:09:06.450 there is a huge demand for similar computers 166 00:09:06.450 --> 00:09:09.300 I need IBM types of computers 167 00:09:09.300 --> 00:09:11.000 Why? 168 00:09:11.000 --> 00:09:15.000 Why? Because of the compatibility 169 00:09:15.350 --> 00:09:17.250 What do you mean by compatibility? 170 00:09:17.250 --> 00:09:21.000 Have you heard the name of the compatibility, the term? 171 00:09:21.000 --> 00:09:24.400 Okay, compatibility means 172 00:09:25.350 --> 00:09:30.400 we are able to do the job 173 00:09:30.400 --> 00:09:33.000 on a certain computer 174 00:09:33.200 --> 00:09:38.400 Then later, we should be able to proceed this task on a different computer 175 00:09:39.000 --> 00:09:41.300 This is called compatibility 176 00:09:41.300 --> 00:09:44.000 In order to achieve the compatibility, 177 00:09:44.000 --> 00:09:47.550 both computers have the same 178 00:09:47.550 --> 00:09:51.000 kind of software 179 00:09:51.000 --> 00:09:56.000 And right now, we have compatible computers out there 180 00:09:56.000 --> 00:10:01.000 There's no problem for us to work on different computers 181 00:10:01.000 --> 00:10:03.000 But at that time, again, 182 00:10:03.000 --> 00:10:07.000 the different computers have different systems, 183 00:10:07.000 --> 00:10:10.650 different software, 184 00:10:10.650 --> 00:10:12.450 different structures 185 00:10:12.450 --> 00:10:17.000 So that's why not too many computers can have compatibility 186 00:10:17.000 --> 00:10:21.000 But after IBM 5150's success, 187 00:10:21.000 --> 00:10:23.000 consumers need compatibility 188 00:10:23.000 --> 00:10:27.000 So they need particular types of computers, 189 00:10:27.000 --> 00:10:29.000 which is IBM computers 190 00:10:29.000 --> 00:10:30.800 But again, 191 00:10:30.800 --> 00:10:35.000 IBM cannot make endless computers 192 00:10:35.000 --> 00:10:39.000 They have a fixed amount of capacity 193 00:10:39.000 --> 00:10:43.000 So in the market, there is a shortage of IBM computers 194 00:10:43.000 --> 00:10:47.000 Then again, so many other computer companies 195 00:10:47.000 --> 00:10:51.100 try to copy IBM computers 196 00:10:51.100 --> 00:10:53.400 We say it is IBM clones, 197 00:10:53.400 --> 00:10:56.450 which is copycat companies, 198 00:10:56.450 --> 00:10:59.550 copycat computers of IBM PCs 199 00:10:59.550 --> 00:11:03.000 They basically perform the same, 200 00:11:03.000 --> 00:11:07.000 but they run most of the same software, 201 00:11:07.000 --> 00:11:09.450 same programs as IBM models, 202 00:11:09.450 --> 00:11:12.400 but at far less cost 203 00:11:12.400 --> 00:11:14.200 Look at this picture 204 00:11:14.200 --> 00:11:19.000 This machine is kind of a first portable computer machine 205 00:11:19.000 --> 00:11:22.400 developed by Compaq 206 00:11:23.300 --> 00:11:27.000 So we say it is a Wintel standard 207 00:11:27.000 --> 00:11:29.000 Consumers need Wintel standards 208 00:11:29.000 --> 00:11:31.000 in order to achieve the compatibility 209 00:11:31.050 --> 00:11:35.550 Again, for the compatibility, 210 00:11:35.550 --> 00:11:39.300 computers have the same structure, same system 211 00:11:39.850 --> 00:11:43.000 The most important component 212 00:11:43.000 --> 00:11:45.000 that makes computers compatible, 213 00:11:48.000 --> 00:11:51.000 there are the Intel microprocessors 214 00:11:51.000 --> 00:11:55.000 and there are Microsoft operating systems 215 00:11:55.000 --> 00:11:58.000 So we need to have the same microprocessor 216 00:11:58.000 --> 00:12:00.000 and same operating system 217 00:12:00.000 --> 00:12:03.000 It is called the Wintel standard, 218 00:12:03.000 --> 00:12:06.000 Windows and Intel standard 219 00:12:06.000 --> 00:12:08.700 Due to the shortage of IBM PCs, 220 00:12:08.700 --> 00:12:13.150 consumers started purchasing IBM clones 221 00:12:15.000 --> 00:12:19.350 This graph illustrates the growth of IBM PCs 222 00:12:19.350 --> 00:12:21.700 and IBM clones 223 00:12:25.000 --> 00:12:28.000 Let's apply the Porter's 546 analysis 224 00:12:28.000 --> 00:12:30.250 into the PC industries 225 00:12:30.450 --> 00:12:33.000 What about the current competitors? 226 00:12:33.000 --> 00:12:35.000 Current competitors 227 00:12:35.000 --> 00:12:38.000 Consumers need compatibility, 228 00:12:38.000 --> 00:12:40.000 as I already mentioned that 229 00:12:40.000 --> 00:12:43.350 And then if they need the same computers, 230 00:12:43.350 --> 00:12:47.300 then there could be lack of differentiation 231 00:12:48.500 --> 00:12:50.500 If there's a lack of differentiation, 232 00:12:50.500 --> 00:12:52.000 no different computers out there, 233 00:12:52.000 --> 00:12:55.900 then computer makers 234 00:12:55.900 --> 00:12:59.250 can only fight in the prices 235 00:13:00.000 --> 00:13:02.500 We say it's a kind of a chicken game 236 00:13:02.600 --> 00:13:05.000 They engage in chicken game 237 00:13:05.000 --> 00:13:08.000 In other words, there is a fierce competition in price 238 00:13:08.000 --> 00:13:09.000 Right? 239 00:13:09.000 --> 00:13:12.900 So inside the competitors, among the competitors, 240 00:13:12.900 --> 00:13:17.000 they fight each other in price only 241 00:13:17.000 --> 00:13:20.000 And industry grows rapidly 242 00:13:20.000 --> 00:13:23.650 It means component prices, 243 00:13:23.650 --> 00:13:27.350 component prices decline very fast 244 00:13:27.850 --> 00:13:29.000 There are many chips, 245 00:13:29.000 --> 00:13:31.000 there are many components inside the computers 246 00:13:31.000 --> 00:13:34.000 But these chips are getting old, 247 00:13:34.000 --> 00:13:36.000 getting old very quickly 248 00:13:36.000 --> 00:13:38.000 So the price is going down 249 00:13:38.000 --> 00:13:39.000 Right? 250 00:13:39.000 --> 00:13:43.695 It means computers can be 251 00:13:43.695 --> 00:13:44.695 perishable 252 00:13:45.000 --> 00:13:47.000 like a vegetable and fruit 253 00:13:47.000 --> 00:13:48.000 Think about it 254 00:13:48.000 --> 00:13:50.000 If you deal with the perishable products, 255 00:13:50.000 --> 00:13:51.000 such as vegetable, fruit, 256 00:13:51.200 --> 00:13:54.300 then 257 00:13:54.300 --> 00:13:58.250 then your strategy is to sell very quickly 258 00:13:58.800 --> 00:14:02.000 If you cannot sell your product, 259 00:14:02.000 --> 00:14:06.000 then you should raise down your prices 260 00:14:06.000 --> 00:14:07.000 You know what I mean? 261 00:14:07.000 --> 00:14:10.000 Because your product is a perishable product 262 00:14:11.000 --> 00:14:13.000 So in this case, 263 00:14:13.000 --> 00:14:15.450 there's a fierce competition in price 264 00:14:15.450 --> 00:14:19.000 because each PC maker raises down the prices 265 00:14:19.000 --> 00:14:22.000 in order to sell their product very quickly 266 00:14:22.000 --> 00:14:24.100 So overall, 267 00:14:24.100 --> 00:14:28.000 the competitors' power is really high 268 00:14:28.000 --> 00:14:30.200 Competitors are very threatful 269 00:14:30.800 --> 00:14:33.000 Fierce competition exists 270 00:14:33.000 --> 00:14:34.000 Another one 271 00:14:34.000 --> 00:14:37.000 What about the future competitors? 272 00:14:37.800 --> 00:14:41.000 Everybody can make computers 273 00:14:41.000 --> 00:14:42.000 Very easy 274 00:14:42.000 --> 00:14:44.500 So the capital cost of the manufacturing of the computers 275 00:14:44.500 --> 00:14:46.000 is very low 276 00:14:46.000 --> 00:14:48.000 Think about Dell 277 00:14:48.000 --> 00:14:49.000 Michael Dell 278 00:14:49.000 --> 00:14:52.000 We are going to talk about Dell case later today 279 00:14:52.000 --> 00:14:53.000 But, you know, 280 00:14:53.000 --> 00:14:58.300 Dell started assembling the computers in his dorm room 281 00:14:58.850 --> 00:15:01.000 So as long as you have relevant chips, 282 00:15:01.000 --> 00:15:03.000 relevant software, 283 00:15:03.000 --> 00:15:05.250 then you can make your own computers 284 00:15:05.250 --> 00:15:07.000 You know, in Korea in the 1980s, 285 00:15:07.000 --> 00:15:09.000 in the Yongsan area, 286 00:15:09.000 --> 00:15:12.000 there are tons of small computer makers 287 00:15:12.000 --> 00:15:15.000 And they assembled the components, 288 00:15:15.000 --> 00:15:18.000 over there by themselves very quickly 289 00:15:18.000 --> 00:15:20.000 Right? 290 00:15:20.000 --> 00:15:22.000 And also, 291 00:15:22.000 --> 00:15:26.000 so many computer makers tried to jump in this market 292 00:15:26.000 --> 00:15:28.000 And for example, 293 00:15:28.000 --> 00:15:31.000 the Chinese factory in Asia, 294 00:15:31.000 --> 00:15:35.000 Chinese factory tried to make their own computers 295 00:15:35.000 --> 00:15:36.500 Same thing happened in Korea 296 00:15:36.500 --> 00:15:39.000 There are many Korean computer makers 297 00:15:39.000 --> 00:15:40.000 Right? 298 00:15:40.250 --> 00:15:44.050 And most inputs are available 299 00:15:44.050 --> 00:15:47.000 Perfectly available 300 00:15:47.000 --> 00:15:48.000 So, 301 00:15:48.000 --> 00:15:49.000 the competitors, 302 00:15:49.000 --> 00:15:50.000 future competitors, 303 00:15:50.000 --> 00:15:52.000 future competitors 304 00:15:52.000 --> 00:15:56.000 can join this industry very easy 305 00:15:56.000 --> 00:15:57.000 So, 306 00:15:57.550 --> 00:16:00.000 look at the market share 307 00:16:00.000 --> 00:16:03.300 from 1980s to 1989 308 00:16:04.000 --> 00:16:06.000 Well, in the 1980s, 309 00:16:06.000 --> 00:16:10.000 before the IBM entered this industry, 310 00:16:10.000 --> 00:16:14.000 Apple gained around 30% of the market share 311 00:16:14.000 --> 00:16:16.350 And AST, Tandy, 312 00:16:16.800 --> 00:16:19.000 acquired around 40% of market share 313 00:16:19.000 --> 00:16:21.000 And other computer companies 314 00:16:21.000 --> 00:16:24.000 got around 30% of market share 315 00:16:24.000 --> 00:16:25.000 But three years later, 316 00:16:25.000 --> 00:16:26.000 what happened? 317 00:16:26.000 --> 00:16:29.000 After IBM jumped in this industry, 318 00:16:29.000 --> 00:16:32.450 IBM acquired around 40% of the market share 319 00:16:32.450 --> 00:16:35.900 And Apple's market share decreased to 20% 320 00:16:35.900 --> 00:16:39.450 And other companies' market share increased 321 00:16:39.450 --> 00:16:41.300 to 33% 322 00:16:41.850 --> 00:16:43.750 Then four years later, 323 00:16:43.750 --> 00:16:45.950 Apple's market share decreased again 324 00:16:45.950 --> 00:16:48.400 And IBM's market share also decreased 325 00:16:48.450 --> 00:16:49.450 On the other hand, 326 00:16:49.450 --> 00:16:51.150 other companies, 327 00:16:51.300 --> 00:16:52.750 which is new entrance, 328 00:16:52.750 --> 00:16:54.000 okay, new competitors, 329 00:16:54.000 --> 00:16:58.000 other market shares increased 48% 330 00:16:58.550 --> 00:16:59.900 Two years later, 331 00:16:59.900 --> 00:17:01.350 1989, 332 00:17:01.350 --> 00:17:06.000 then others' market share increased to 60% 333 00:17:06.650 --> 00:17:11.000 It's all because of the IBM clones 334 00:17:11.000 --> 00:17:14.400 and consumers' need of the compatibility 335 00:17:14.400 --> 00:17:18.250 and easy to jump in this market 336 00:17:18.850 --> 00:17:21.400 So, what about the threat of new entrance, 337 00:17:21.450 --> 00:17:23.500 threat of future competitors? 338 00:17:23.900 --> 00:17:27.000 I think it's kind of moderate or high 339 00:17:27.000 --> 00:17:29.000 Right? 340 00:17:30.000 --> 00:17:33.000 Well, what about the consumers? 341 00:17:33.000 --> 00:17:34.000 Consumers need what? 342 00:17:34.000 --> 00:17:37.100 Consumers need Wintel standard 343 00:17:37.900 --> 00:17:40.000 If they need particular functions, 344 00:17:40.000 --> 00:17:42.000 Wintel standard, 345 00:17:42.000 --> 00:17:44.350 then they don't have any, 346 00:17:44.850 --> 00:17:47.250 high level of switching cost over the particular brand 347 00:17:47.250 --> 00:17:49.000 Low switching cost 348 00:17:49.000 --> 00:17:51.000 Low switching cost means 349 00:17:51.000 --> 00:17:52.000 they are always, 350 00:17:52.000 --> 00:17:54.000 they are always, 351 00:17:54.450 --> 00:17:56.500 able to change their brand 352 00:17:57.800 --> 00:18:01.000 As long as the particular computer 353 00:18:01.000 --> 00:18:03.000 follows the Wintel standard, 354 00:18:03.000 --> 00:18:05.000 they can choose these computers 355 00:18:05.000 --> 00:18:06.000 For them, 356 00:18:06.000 --> 00:18:08.000 PCs are the same 357 00:18:08.750 --> 00:18:10.000 So, again, 358 00:18:10.000 --> 00:18:11.000 the low switching cost 359 00:18:11.000 --> 00:18:12.000 For them, 360 00:18:12.000 --> 00:18:15.300 PCs are also very expensive 361 00:18:15.750 --> 00:18:17.000 It's very expensive 362 00:18:17.000 --> 00:18:18.650 And it, 363 00:18:19.000 --> 00:18:22.000 it accounts for a huge portion 364 00:18:22.000 --> 00:18:25.000 from their incomes 365 00:18:25.000 --> 00:18:26.000 So, 366 00:18:26.000 --> 00:18:28.000 we say this type of product 367 00:18:28.000 --> 00:18:30.850 is a high involvement product 368 00:18:31.000 --> 00:18:33.300 high involvement product 369 00:18:33.900 --> 00:18:35.900 If you deal with the consumer 370 00:18:36.000 --> 00:18:38.350 who can purchase a high involvement product, 371 00:18:38.350 --> 00:18:40.000 then you should be very careful 372 00:18:40.000 --> 00:18:42.000 because consumers are very sensitive 373 00:18:42.000 --> 00:18:43.000 Right? 374 00:18:43.550 --> 00:18:46.000 So, the consumer's threat 375 00:18:46.000 --> 00:18:48.000 is probably higher over you 376 00:18:48.000 --> 00:18:49.000 Right? 377 00:18:49.000 --> 00:18:50.000 They have more power over you 378 00:18:50.000 --> 00:18:52.000 because they don't have any 379 00:18:52.000 --> 00:18:53.000 sticky brand 380 00:18:53.300 --> 00:18:56.650 and they are really careful with their prices 381 00:18:56.650 --> 00:18:59.000 because it is very expensive, 382 00:18:59.000 --> 00:19:02.000 which is a high involvement product 383 00:19:02.000 --> 00:19:03.000 Right? 384 00:19:03.000 --> 00:19:04.000 And they are 385 00:19:04.000 --> 00:19:07.000 all well-educated consumers 386 00:19:07.000 --> 00:19:09.000 in terms of the computers 387 00:19:09.800 --> 00:19:13.000 So, dealing with those types of consumers, 388 00:19:13.000 --> 00:19:15.300 it is not easy 389 00:19:15.300 --> 00:19:16.400 Right? 390 00:19:17.000 --> 00:19:17.700 Let's move on 391 00:19:17.700 --> 00:19:18.750 Suppliers 392 00:19:18.750 --> 00:19:20.000 Well, 393 00:19:20.000 --> 00:19:22.000 consumers need for the compatibility, 394 00:19:22.000 --> 00:19:23.700 which is the Intel standard 395 00:19:23.900 --> 00:19:27.550 So, they particularly need 396 00:19:27.550 --> 00:19:30.000 Intel microprocessor 397 00:19:30.000 --> 00:19:34.000 and the Microsoft Windows operating system 398 00:19:34.200 --> 00:19:37.000 So, who are major suppliers 399 00:19:37.000 --> 00:19:38.000 for the PC makers? 400 00:19:38.450 --> 00:19:40.000 Yes, of course, 401 00:19:40.000 --> 00:19:41.000 Intel 402 00:19:41.000 --> 00:19:43.000 and Microsoft 403 00:19:43.000 --> 00:19:44.000 Right? 404 00:19:44.000 --> 00:19:45.800 And, 405 00:19:46.000 --> 00:19:49.000 for the PC makers' point of view, 406 00:19:49.000 --> 00:19:51.000 it is not easy 407 00:19:51.000 --> 00:19:53.000 to switch the suppliers, 408 00:19:53.000 --> 00:19:55.250 to switch the, 409 00:19:55.700 --> 00:19:57.000 to switch Intel, 410 00:19:57.000 --> 00:19:59.000 to switch Microsoft 411 00:19:59.000 --> 00:20:00.000 Why? 412 00:20:00.000 --> 00:20:01.840 Because consumers need 413 00:20:01.840 --> 00:20:03.240 And there's only one company 414 00:20:03.240 --> 00:20:06.480 to produce Intel microprocessor, only Intel 415 00:20:06.480 --> 00:20:08.440 There's only one company to produce 416 00:20:09.440 --> 00:20:10.760 the window operating system 417 00:20:10.760 --> 00:20:12.240 It's Microsoft 418 00:20:12.240 --> 00:20:13.080 Okay 419 00:20:14.240 --> 00:20:17.480 So the major suppliers such as Intel and Microsoft 420 00:20:17.480 --> 00:20:18.639 dominate this market 421 00:20:20.240 --> 00:20:22.290 So we say 422 00:20:22.290 --> 00:20:25.240 the power of suppliers is very high, very high 423 00:20:25.240 --> 00:20:27.639 It's very high, very high 424 00:20:27.639 --> 00:20:30.360 In particular, those two suppliers 425 00:20:32.000 --> 00:20:33.759 So look at this graph 426 00:20:33.759 --> 00:20:37.860 The blue bar represents Intel's profit margin 427 00:20:37.860 --> 00:20:41.799 and the red bar represent Microsoft's profit margin 428 00:20:41.799 --> 00:20:43.549 In 1999, 429 00:20:43.549 --> 00:20:47.299 Microsoft enjoyed around 40% of the market share 430 00:20:47.480 --> 00:20:49.279 and Intel at the same time, 431 00:20:49.279 --> 00:20:51.880 around more than 25% market share 432 00:20:51.880 --> 00:20:54.959 So they enjoyed above normal profit 433 00:20:55.040 --> 00:20:58.880 given such a poor performing industries, 434 00:20:58.880 --> 00:21:00.919 which is the PC industry 435 00:21:00.919 --> 00:21:02.279 Although the other PC makers 436 00:21:02.279 --> 00:21:04.480 suffer from lack of the profitability, 437 00:21:04.480 --> 00:21:07.480 but the suppliers, Intel and Microsoft 438 00:21:07.480 --> 00:21:10.360 enjoyed above normal profits 439 00:21:10.360 --> 00:21:13.940 because of their power 440 00:21:15.400 --> 00:21:16.760 Substitute 441 00:21:16.760 --> 00:21:18.239 This is the last one 442 00:21:18.239 --> 00:21:21.919 At that time, the network PC is rising 443 00:21:21.919 --> 00:21:24.680 and there's a workstation PCs, 444 00:21:25.360 --> 00:21:29.279 but substitute power is not very high 445 00:21:29.279 --> 00:21:31.160 It's kind of a middle, right? 446 00:21:32.040 --> 00:21:34.959 So we can analyze, 447 00:21:34.959 --> 00:21:39.959 we can analyze the early PC market, 448 00:21:40.080 --> 00:21:44.040 PC industry based on Porter's 546 analysis 449 00:21:44.040 --> 00:21:46.639 So let's evaluate again 450 00:21:46.639 --> 00:21:49.040 Current rivals, very high 451 00:21:49.040 --> 00:21:50.320 What about future rivals? 452 00:21:50.320 --> 00:21:52.839 Future rivals is middle or high 453 00:21:52.839 --> 00:21:55.599 Consumers, consumers power, yes, high 454 00:21:55.599 --> 00:21:58.040 Suppliers power, very high 455 00:21:58.040 --> 00:22:00.720 Substitute power is kind of middle 456 00:22:00.720 --> 00:22:03.320 Then we can make it this sentence, 457 00:22:03.320 --> 00:22:04.570 this word 458 00:22:04.570 --> 00:22:08.920 to the numbers from one to five 459 00:22:09.080 --> 00:22:12.160 and the current rivals, yes, mark five 460 00:22:12.160 --> 00:22:15.720 and future rivals mark around the 3.5 461 00:22:15.720 --> 00:22:18.759 and the consumers, consumers mark four 462 00:22:18.759 --> 00:22:21.839 and suppliers mark, yes, of course, mark five 463 00:22:21.839 --> 00:22:23.800 and substitute mark, it's kind of a middle, 464 00:22:23.800 --> 00:22:26.320 so plus three 465 00:22:26.320 --> 00:22:28.160 So put together how much? 466 00:22:28.160 --> 00:22:32.679 Okay, 9, 12, 17 467 00:22:32.679 --> 00:22:35.399 Wow, 20.5 out of 25 468 00:22:36.399 --> 00:22:37.559 20.5 469 00:22:37.559 --> 00:22:38.919 You know what I mean by that? 470 00:22:38.919 --> 00:22:40.600 Outside the five forces 471 00:22:40.600 --> 00:22:44.279 they have a 20.5 score out of 25 472 00:22:44.279 --> 00:22:48.119 Again, the more powerful the forces, 473 00:22:48.119 --> 00:22:51.790 the less attractive for you 474 00:22:53.240 --> 00:22:54.720 It's the big number or small number, 475 00:22:54.720 --> 00:22:58.120 20.5 score out of 25 476 00:22:58.120 --> 00:23:00.520 which is huge numbers 477 00:23:00.759 --> 00:23:03.559 It means, five forces 478 00:23:03.559 --> 00:23:05.000 in the computer industry, 479 00:23:05.000 --> 00:23:10.000 five forces have big numbers 480 00:23:10.000 --> 00:23:14.919 It means this industry is not attractive to you, right? 481 00:23:14.919 --> 00:23:20.119 So we can confirm that why the PC makers 482 00:23:20.119 --> 00:23:23.119 suffer from the lack of the profitability 483 00:23:23.119 --> 00:23:26.320 It is all because of powerful forces 484 00:23:28.960 --> 00:23:32.960 I want to introduce Michael Dell 485 00:23:32.960 --> 00:23:33.960 Okay, Dell 486 00:23:33.960 --> 00:23:36.199 Have you heard about the Dell computer? 487 00:23:36.199 --> 00:23:37.039 Right? 488 00:23:37.039 --> 00:23:39.679 Dell computer started as a computer company, 489 00:23:39.679 --> 00:23:42.240 in 1980s 490 00:23:42.240 --> 00:23:45.320 As a freshman, I mean, college dropout, 491 00:23:45.320 --> 00:23:47.520 he started this company, 492 00:23:47.559 --> 00:23:50.880 well, actually the nearby University of Texas 493 00:23:50.880 --> 00:23:53.199 Well, before then, he was a pre-med student 494 00:23:53.199 --> 00:23:55.160 in the University of Texas, Austin, 495 00:23:55.160 --> 00:23:58.199 and he lived in the dormitory, Dobby Hall 496 00:23:58.199 --> 00:24:00.960 And over there, right, over there, 497 00:24:00.960 --> 00:24:02.720 he didn't study at all 498 00:24:02.720 --> 00:24:05.839 Instead, he assembled a computer 499 00:24:05.839 --> 00:24:09.559 And basically he took order from his friend 500 00:24:09.559 --> 00:24:14.559 and he personalized his friend's computers 501 00:24:15.199 --> 00:24:16.040 Right? 502 00:24:16.040 --> 00:24:17.920 So he made a lot of money 503 00:24:17.920 --> 00:24:20.079 So he started his businesses 504 00:24:21.320 --> 00:24:23.160 Well, Dell was very successful 505 00:24:23.160 --> 00:24:28.160 because Dell has grown at over 55% or 60% every year 506 00:24:28.200 --> 00:24:30.119 in revenue and net income, 507 00:24:30.119 --> 00:24:34.040 respectively from 1987 to 1997 508 00:24:34.040 --> 00:24:38.239 Think about the blue bar represent the gross ratio, 509 00:24:38.239 --> 00:24:40.119 gross ratio of the Dell 510 00:24:40.119 --> 00:24:44.959 Dell achieved at least 50%, at least 50% every year 511 00:24:44.959 --> 00:24:47.839 They increased, they grew 50% every year 512 00:24:47.839 --> 00:24:49.799 But what about the other computer company? 513 00:24:49.799 --> 00:24:54.799 Well, the yellow, I mean, the orange bar represent Apple 514 00:24:54.959 --> 00:24:59.480 You know, 1996, 1997, Apple shrinked, Apple declined 515 00:25:00.600 --> 00:25:02.959 Not too many people believe that 516 00:25:02.959 --> 00:25:04.720 But around that time 517 00:25:04.720 --> 00:25:07.559 we are worried about the Apple's bankruptcy, right? 518 00:25:07.559 --> 00:25:10.119 1996, 1997 519 00:25:10.119 --> 00:25:11.799 And what about the other computers? 520 00:25:11.799 --> 00:25:15.239 IBM, 1993, IBM did not grow 521 00:25:15.239 --> 00:25:17.679 1994, IBM grew a little bit 522 00:25:17.679 --> 00:25:20.720 So think about the other computer makers 523 00:25:20.720 --> 00:25:23.039 Computer makers suffer from 524 00:25:23.039 --> 00:25:26.100 lack of the profitability and they don't grow 525 00:25:27.359 --> 00:25:31.079 Only Dell grew dramatically, only Dell 526 00:25:32.079 --> 00:25:35.440 So we need to find out the key secret, 527 00:25:35.440 --> 00:25:38.559 how it is happening for the Dell computer 528 00:25:38.559 --> 00:25:42.480 Dell became later the world's largest PC makers, 529 00:25:42.480 --> 00:25:43.679 PC producers 530 00:25:45.440 --> 00:25:47.760 Dell thrived in the PC industry again 531 00:25:47.760 --> 00:25:51.079 And this is a stock market prices of the Dell computer 532 00:25:51.079 --> 00:25:55.839 And when Dell went to IPO, 533 00:25:55.839 --> 00:25:59.760 then the Dell stock prices increased, 534 00:25:59.760 --> 00:26:01.600 increased sharp, okay? 535 00:26:04.279 --> 00:26:06.640 Well, I prepared for the short video clip 536 00:26:06.640 --> 00:26:08.920 to explain the Dell's history 537 00:26:08.920 --> 00:26:11.679 Please take a look at the video together 538 00:26:11.679 --> 00:26:14.480 before we proceed the lecture 539 00:26:14.480 --> 00:26:16.690 Let's take a look at the video together 540 00:26:22.000 --> 00:26:25.239 What do you think of the Dell's history? 541 00:26:25.239 --> 00:26:26.399 Isn't it interesting? 542 00:26:26.399 --> 00:26:29.720 So you understand how Dell 543 00:26:29.720 --> 00:26:31.679 run his own businesses 544 00:26:31.679 --> 00:26:34.559 and how did position the computer company, 545 00:26:34.600 --> 00:26:39.279 position the company in a given industry? 546 00:26:39.279 --> 00:26:42.160 I want to summarize 547 00:26:42.160 --> 00:26:44.239 Dell's history and Dell's approach 548 00:26:44.239 --> 00:26:48.600 and Dell's strategy in a given poor performing industry, 549 00:26:48.600 --> 00:26:50.320 which is the PC industry 550 00:26:51.440 --> 00:26:55.040 Right, okay, so Michael Dell said, 551 00:26:55.040 --> 00:27:00.000 the idea was to sell computers directly to the end users 552 00:27:00.000 --> 00:27:02.119 without the markup of dealers 553 00:27:02.119 --> 00:27:04.119 So it means we don't have dealers 554 00:27:04.519 --> 00:27:06.239 Dealer means big stores 555 00:27:06.239 --> 00:27:07.959 We don't have big stores 556 00:27:07.959 --> 00:27:11.760 We do not contract with the big stores, okay? 557 00:27:11.760 --> 00:27:14.720 And also we don't have a high level of inventory 558 00:27:14.720 --> 00:27:18.519 We keep very low level of inventory 559 00:27:18.519 --> 00:27:23.359 and also we provide high level of service 560 00:27:24.399 --> 00:27:27.519 These are differentiators, okay? 561 00:27:27.519 --> 00:27:29.980 These are differentiators of the Dell computer 562 00:27:30.880 --> 00:27:34.239 Look at the traditional computer purchasing, 563 00:27:34.239 --> 00:27:36.540 experience, think about it 564 00:27:36.920 --> 00:27:38.600 Personal computer, 565 00:27:38.600 --> 00:27:40.949 when we think about the personal computer, 566 00:27:40.949 --> 00:27:45.949 we think about the computers at home, right? 567 00:27:45.959 --> 00:27:48.279 We need a personal computer at home 568 00:27:48.279 --> 00:27:52.959 My house, we have one or two personal computers, okay? 569 00:27:52.959 --> 00:27:54.440 This is the picture 570 00:27:54.440 --> 00:27:56.239 This is a typical picture 571 00:27:56.239 --> 00:27:59.040 The people use the computer at home, right? 572 00:27:59.279 --> 00:28:02.079 So when we need a personal computer, 573 00:28:02.079 --> 00:28:05.679 then where do you go to purchase personal computer? 574 00:28:05.679 --> 00:28:10.679 Yes, of course, you should stop by the specialized stores 575 00:28:10.679 --> 00:28:13.880 or big discount stores such as Costco 576 00:28:13.880 --> 00:28:18.119 or such as Best Buy or such as Walmart 577 00:28:18.119 --> 00:28:20.640 You stop by Walmart or Best Buy, 578 00:28:20.640 --> 00:28:22.119 to purchase computer 579 00:28:22.119 --> 00:28:25.679 And of course, over there, there are a lot of computers 580 00:28:25.679 --> 00:28:28.399 and the employees, 581 00:28:28.399 --> 00:28:30.600 probably employees will explain, 582 00:28:30.600 --> 00:28:35.119 the very detail about each computers, okay? 583 00:28:35.119 --> 00:28:37.239 Then where these big box retailers 584 00:28:37.239 --> 00:28:41.280 or Best Buy or Walmart get the computers? 585 00:28:41.280 --> 00:28:43.479 Yes, of course, computer makers 586 00:28:43.479 --> 00:28:45.640 Computer makers have a factory 587 00:28:45.640 --> 00:28:48.039 and computer makers have employees 588 00:28:48.039 --> 00:28:51.200 and they have raw materials 589 00:28:51.200 --> 00:28:54.640 So they assemble the computer in their factory 590 00:28:54.640 --> 00:28:57.599 Then later, they ship their finished good, 591 00:28:57.599 --> 00:29:01.719 finished computer to the Best Buy or Walmart 592 00:29:01.719 --> 00:29:04.200 as the, you know, dealers 593 00:29:04.200 --> 00:29:06.679 We say it's the dealers 594 00:29:06.679 --> 00:29:11.359 So the computer makers just contact with the dealers 595 00:29:11.359 --> 00:29:16.000 or stores, and then they just shake hands 596 00:29:16.000 --> 00:29:18.039 Then they don't care the end users 597 00:29:18.039 --> 00:29:20.280 End users like us just meet 598 00:29:20.280 --> 00:29:22.599 employees of the stores, right? 599 00:29:22.599 --> 00:29:26.559 Because the stores take care of everything 600 00:29:26.559 --> 00:29:29.719 Take care of selling, service, something like that 601 00:29:29.719 --> 00:29:33.640 So the Best Buy will sell the computer to the end users, 602 00:29:33.640 --> 00:29:34.479 right? 603 00:29:34.479 --> 00:29:37.520 This is the typical process of computer purchasing 604 00:29:37.520 --> 00:29:41.760 But Michael Dell thought differently 605 00:29:41.760 --> 00:29:43.520 Okay, wait a minute 606 00:29:43.520 --> 00:29:46.670 This is the personal computer 607 00:29:46.670 --> 00:29:49.520 for just a home 608 00:29:49.620 --> 00:29:52.960 It is a home personal computer 609 00:29:53.960 --> 00:29:57.440 Yes, it is a home market, okay? 610 00:29:57.440 --> 00:30:00.559 So far, we just focused on home personal computer market 611 00:30:01.599 --> 00:30:04.479 But in a PC industry, 612 00:30:04.479 --> 00:30:09.029 there are kind of additional market can exist 613 00:30:10.039 --> 00:30:13.080 Additional place that need the personal computer, 614 00:30:13.080 --> 00:30:15.760 additional place beyond the home 615 00:30:16.760 --> 00:30:18.679 Think about where it is 616 00:30:18.679 --> 00:30:20.159 Where it is? 617 00:30:20.159 --> 00:30:22.119 Where we need the personal computer? 618 00:30:22.119 --> 00:30:23.509 Beyond the home 619 00:30:24.239 --> 00:30:27.200 Yes, of course, the companies 620 00:30:27.200 --> 00:30:28.239 Yes, right? 621 00:30:28.239 --> 00:30:30.000 Inside the companies, 622 00:30:30.000 --> 00:30:32.640 there are tons of the personal computers 623 00:30:32.640 --> 00:30:35.599 We work at the personal computers, right? 624 00:30:35.599 --> 00:30:37.320 Each, every single household 625 00:30:37.320 --> 00:30:39.200 need just one or two computers, 626 00:30:39.200 --> 00:30:44.200 but each company need 5,000, 10,000 computers, 627 00:30:45.200 --> 00:30:49.200 They need 5,000, 10,000 PCs, right? 628 00:30:49.200 --> 00:30:50.440 This is additional market 629 00:30:50.440 --> 00:30:51.320 This is another market, 630 00:30:51.320 --> 00:30:54.719 which is enterprise market 631 00:30:54.719 --> 00:30:59.400 And also, what other places need personal computer? 632 00:30:59.400 --> 00:31:01.119 What other places? 633 00:31:01.119 --> 00:31:03.960 Yes, of course, university, right? 634 00:31:03.960 --> 00:31:06.719 Inside the university, how many computer we need? 635 00:31:06.719 --> 00:31:07.960 In Hanyang University, 636 00:31:07.960 --> 00:31:10.559 how many computers do we have? 637 00:31:10.559 --> 00:31:12.039 We have a lot of departments 638 00:31:12.039 --> 00:31:13.280 We have a lot of professors 639 00:31:13.599 --> 00:31:16.400 We have a lot of students 640 00:31:16.400 --> 00:31:18.400 And also, we have a computer lab 641 00:31:18.400 --> 00:31:21.559 and the computer classes, right? 642 00:31:21.559 --> 00:31:25.159 And we have a classroom with many computers 643 00:31:25.159 --> 00:31:29.200 So, how many computers we need in each university? 644 00:31:29.200 --> 00:31:32.200 This is the university market, right? 645 00:31:32.200 --> 00:31:34.760 There are different market 646 00:31:34.760 --> 00:31:37.679 in a given personal computer industry 647 00:31:37.679 --> 00:31:38.719 And what else? 648 00:31:38.719 --> 00:31:41.799 What kind of other place 649 00:31:41.840 --> 00:31:44.200 that need personal computer? 650 00:31:44.200 --> 00:31:46.159 Yes, government, right? 651 00:31:46.159 --> 00:31:50.239 The Department of Labor or Pentagon in America 652 00:31:50.239 --> 00:31:52.359 So many people work there 653 00:31:52.359 --> 00:31:55.159 In other words, so many computer we need, right? 654 00:31:55.159 --> 00:31:57.760 This computer would be the personal computers 655 00:31:57.760 --> 00:32:00.359 So, this is a government market 656 00:32:00.359 --> 00:32:05.000 So, Michael Dell did not focus on home PC market 657 00:32:05.050 --> 00:32:08.150 Instead, he identified 658 00:32:08.150 --> 00:32:11.400 three big consumer segments 659 00:32:11.840 --> 00:32:13.880 The first one, enterprise consumer segment 660 00:32:13.880 --> 00:32:16.080 Second one, university consumer segment 661 00:32:16.080 --> 00:32:20.039 Third one is government consumer segment 662 00:32:20.039 --> 00:32:25.039 So, Michael Dell tried to send out his salesperson 663 00:32:25.159 --> 00:32:27.039 to each segment 664 00:32:27.039 --> 00:32:29.400 For example, enterprise market 665 00:32:29.400 --> 00:32:34.159 Dell sent out his salesperson to GE 666 00:32:34.159 --> 00:32:35.320 GE Manhattan 667 00:32:35.320 --> 00:32:38.080 Hey GE, you need computers 668 00:32:38.080 --> 00:32:39.520 How many computers do you need? 669 00:32:39.520 --> 00:32:41.489 What kind of functions do you need? 670 00:32:43.039 --> 00:32:46.559 How many, I mean, 671 00:32:47.799 --> 00:32:49.899 what about your 672 00:32:49.899 --> 00:32:53.899 the kind of sound or graphic important for you? 673 00:32:54.039 --> 00:32:56.919 Then we can provide some kind of relevant chip, 674 00:32:56.919 --> 00:33:01.119 relevant types of the computer for you 675 00:33:01.119 --> 00:33:04.200 Do you need wide screen? 676 00:33:04.200 --> 00:33:08.880 Yes, we can provide wide screen for you, right? 677 00:33:08.880 --> 00:33:13.119 So, okay, let's make a contract with us 678 00:33:13.119 --> 00:33:17.200 Then GE orders 10,000, 679 00:33:17.200 --> 00:33:20.159 10,000 PCs to Dell computers 680 00:33:20.159 --> 00:33:22.640 So, the Dell computer, once they received the order 681 00:33:22.640 --> 00:33:25.880 from the GE, then they started making the computer 682 00:33:25.880 --> 00:33:27.559 for only GE 683 00:33:27.559 --> 00:33:30.840 It is a personalized computer for GE 684 00:33:30.840 --> 00:33:32.640 And then what about university? 685 00:33:32.640 --> 00:33:34.880 Dell sent out the salesperson 686 00:33:34.880 --> 00:33:36.440 to the Harvard University 687 00:33:36.440 --> 00:33:39.239 Hey, Harvard University, you have many department 688 00:33:39.239 --> 00:33:40.679 and what kind of a computer you need? 689 00:33:40.679 --> 00:33:43.320 Yes, of course, you are kind of a scientific, 690 00:33:43.320 --> 00:33:45.200 the university 691 00:33:45.200 --> 00:33:49.479 So, probably you need to have a high level of capacity 692 00:33:49.479 --> 00:33:51.239 to analyze your data 693 00:33:51.239 --> 00:33:54.039 So, we can provide those types of computer for you 694 00:33:54.880 --> 00:33:56.919 How many computers you need? 695 00:33:56.919 --> 00:33:58.640 Well, Harvard University said, 696 00:33:58.640 --> 00:34:02.159 well, we need at least 8,000 of them 697 00:34:02.159 --> 00:34:05.559 So, yes, we can make 8,000 computers for you 698 00:34:05.559 --> 00:34:09.880 So, once Dell computer received the order from the GE, 699 00:34:09.880 --> 00:34:12.400 they started making, no, I'm sorry, 700 00:34:12.400 --> 00:34:14.960 taking orders from the Harvard University, 701 00:34:14.960 --> 00:34:17.210 they started making 702 00:34:17.210 --> 00:34:19.919 the Harvard University types computer, 703 00:34:19.919 --> 00:34:21.760 highly personalized 704 00:34:21.760 --> 00:34:23.520 computer for the Harvard University 705 00:34:23.520 --> 00:34:25.799 Same thing happened to the government, right? 706 00:34:25.799 --> 00:34:27.749 So, in this case, 707 00:34:27.749 --> 00:34:31.799 Dell doesn't need dealers 708 00:34:31.799 --> 00:34:35.940 because they can deliver the computer 709 00:34:35.940 --> 00:34:38.359 directly from factory to the company, 710 00:34:38.359 --> 00:34:40.599 to the university, to the government side 711 00:34:40.599 --> 00:34:45.400 So, they eliminated the middleman 712 00:34:45.450 --> 00:34:50.230 Instead, they deliver the computer from the factory 713 00:34:50.230 --> 00:34:54.400 directly to the end users 714 00:34:54.400 --> 00:34:56.679 which is the three big segment 715 00:34:57.000 --> 00:34:58.400 Then later, 716 00:34:58.400 --> 00:35:01.359 Dell established the website 717 00:35:01.359 --> 00:35:05.960 and started taking order from the home PC markets 718 00:35:05.960 --> 00:35:10.119 Then they tried to deliver the computers 719 00:35:10.119 --> 00:35:14.719 from the factory to each household 720 00:35:14.719 --> 00:35:17.440 This is a key secret 721 00:35:17.440 --> 00:35:19.599 how Dell was successful 722 00:35:19.599 --> 00:35:21.589 given poor performing industry 723 00:35:23.440 --> 00:35:25.440 So, key idea to the Dell computer 724 00:35:25.440 --> 00:35:27.559 was to approach different market 725 00:35:27.559 --> 00:35:31.200 among the same PC industry 726 00:35:31.200 --> 00:35:34.000 Dell identified that there are two different types 727 00:35:34.000 --> 00:35:36.320 of industry, I mean 728 00:35:36.320 --> 00:35:39.080 two different types of market, I'm sorry 729 00:35:39.080 --> 00:35:41.919 So far, we discussed about the industry 730 00:35:41.919 --> 00:35:44.880 Again, industry refers to the group of company, 731 00:35:45.719 --> 00:35:47.280 producing similar 732 00:35:47.280 --> 00:35:50.359 or substituted product and services 733 00:35:50.359 --> 00:35:51.599 But what about market? 734 00:35:51.599 --> 00:35:56.559 Market, market is a kind of the group of consumers 735 00:35:56.559 --> 00:35:58.880 In a single and same industry, 736 00:35:58.880 --> 00:36:01.320 there are different types of 737 00:36:01.320 --> 00:36:04.200 the market exist, like a home PC market, 738 00:36:04.200 --> 00:36:07.320 enterprise PC market, university PC market, 739 00:36:07.320 --> 00:36:10.039 and the government PC market, like this 740 00:36:11.039 --> 00:36:13.440 So, Dell identified there are two different types 741 00:36:13.440 --> 00:36:16.919 of PC market exist, okay, simplify 742 00:36:16.919 --> 00:36:20.400 He simplified two different types of the PC market 743 00:36:20.400 --> 00:36:22.880 The first one is PC markets for enterprises, 744 00:36:22.880 --> 00:36:26.960 PC market for university, PC market for the government 745 00:36:26.960 --> 00:36:30.200 And on the other side was a traditional PC market 746 00:36:30.200 --> 00:36:32.000 for home, right? 747 00:36:32.000 --> 00:36:35.050 And then PC market for enterprises, 748 00:36:35.050 --> 00:36:36.959 there are IBM 749 00:36:37.559 --> 00:36:40.029 PC market for home, there are Apple 750 00:36:40.679 --> 00:36:43.440 And then compact in the middle 751 00:36:43.440 --> 00:36:46.290 And then Dell position itself 752 00:36:46.290 --> 00:36:49.340 as a PC for enterprises, 753 00:36:49.440 --> 00:36:52.520 like this, very similar to the IBM 754 00:36:52.520 --> 00:36:55.599 And then what is the difference between Dell and IBM? 755 00:36:55.599 --> 00:36:59.200 So we can draw the y-axis 756 00:36:59.200 --> 00:37:04.199 Y-axis, we say it is a personalization 757 00:37:04.920 --> 00:37:09.040 There are high personalized PCs and low personalized PC 758 00:37:09.040 --> 00:37:12.640 Dell focused on high personalized PC 759 00:37:12.640 --> 00:37:17.400 So the Harvard University specific PC, GE specific PC, 760 00:37:17.560 --> 00:37:20.520 and the Department of Labor specific PC 761 00:37:20.520 --> 00:37:24.079 And Dell tried to make their own personalized PC 762 00:37:24.079 --> 00:37:26.959 IBM, IBM just provide the standard PC, 763 00:37:26.959 --> 00:37:30.640 regardless of their need, regardless of their types 764 00:37:30.640 --> 00:37:33.400 of company, their types of organization 765 00:37:33.400 --> 00:37:37.680 So we can position these companies again, 766 00:37:37.680 --> 00:37:39.959 based on the graph 767 00:37:39.959 --> 00:37:43.800 So the Apple positioned itself 768 00:37:43.800 --> 00:37:47.560 PC for home and highly personalized area 769 00:37:47.560 --> 00:37:50.680 On the other hand, IBM positioned itself 770 00:37:50.680 --> 00:37:54.700 as a PC for enterprise and standardized 771 00:37:55.280 --> 00:37:57.359 On the other hand, Dell 772 00:37:57.359 --> 00:38:00.959 located itself in the PC for enterprise area 773 00:38:00.959 --> 00:38:03.520 and highly personalized 774 00:38:03.520 --> 00:38:07.400 So that's why Dell has, Dell achieved very unique position 775 00:38:07.400 --> 00:38:09.800 in a given PC industry 776 00:38:09.800 --> 00:38:11.040 So why is this important? 777 00:38:11.040 --> 00:38:15.359 This unique position heavily shaped 778 00:38:15.359 --> 00:38:17.439 the existing industry structure 779 00:38:17.439 --> 00:38:18.520 I will show you 780 00:38:18.520 --> 00:38:21.280 This is the traditional industry structure 781 00:38:21.280 --> 00:38:22.800 for PC makers 782 00:38:22.800 --> 00:38:25.199 Of course, most of the forces 783 00:38:25.199 --> 00:38:29.040 have more power over PC makers, 784 00:38:29.040 --> 00:38:33.359 but the Dell's unique position changed this relationship 785 00:38:33.359 --> 00:38:34.559 For example, 786 00:38:34.559 --> 00:38:38.359 Dell, we can assess the relationship 787 00:38:38.560 --> 00:38:40.880 between Dell and current competitors 788 00:38:41.760 --> 00:38:43.880 Current competitors just focused 789 00:38:43.880 --> 00:38:47.280 on home PC market, but Dell started focusing 790 00:38:47.280 --> 00:38:48.599 on different market 791 00:38:48.599 --> 00:38:51.599 So in a different market, in an enterprise market 792 00:38:51.599 --> 00:38:54.640 and in a university market and in a government market, 793 00:38:54.640 --> 00:38:57.119 and there are not too many PC makers over there 794 00:38:57.119 --> 00:39:00.719 So the current competitors' power 795 00:39:00.719 --> 00:39:03.119 is relatively low, right? 796 00:39:03.119 --> 00:39:05.000 It's relatively low, middle or low 797 00:39:05.000 --> 00:39:07.079 What about future competitors? 798 00:39:07.119 --> 00:39:10.439 In a traditional PC market for home, 799 00:39:10.439 --> 00:39:13.280 the future competitors easily join this market, 800 00:39:13.280 --> 00:39:17.119 but this is not the PC market for home 801 00:39:17.119 --> 00:39:19.920 This is a PC market for enterprise, 802 00:39:19.920 --> 00:39:21.400 PC market for university 803 00:39:21.400 --> 00:39:23.319 So Dell started this market 804 00:39:23.319 --> 00:39:25.520 and Dell initiated this market 805 00:39:25.520 --> 00:39:28.920 So by making strong relationship between Dell 806 00:39:28.920 --> 00:39:33.520 and the enterprise consumers and university consumers 807 00:39:33.520 --> 00:39:37.680 So, penetrating the already existing, 808 00:39:37.680 --> 00:39:40.760 network, already existing relationship, 809 00:39:40.760 --> 00:39:41.760 it's not easy 810 00:39:41.760 --> 00:39:45.000 So it is kind of Dell's strong relationship 811 00:39:45.000 --> 00:39:48.719 between the consumers, 812 00:39:48.719 --> 00:39:50.520 so there's entry barrier 813 00:39:50.520 --> 00:39:54.439 So not too many, the future competitors 814 00:39:54.439 --> 00:39:57.280 can join this market easily 815 00:39:57.280 --> 00:40:02.280 So we say future rival's power will be low 816 00:40:02.400 --> 00:40:04.319 What about consumers, right? 817 00:40:04.319 --> 00:40:08.479 So Dell provides a personalized PC for each consumers 818 00:40:08.479 --> 00:40:11.040 So in this case, the situation changes 819 00:40:11.040 --> 00:40:12.479 In a normal market, 820 00:40:12.479 --> 00:40:17.079 consumer has power over the PC makers 821 00:40:17.079 --> 00:40:19.599 because consumer don't have any switching cost 822 00:40:19.599 --> 00:40:20.880 of a particular brand 823 00:40:20.880 --> 00:40:22.630 But right now, 824 00:40:22.630 --> 00:40:25.079 in GE and in Harvard University, 825 00:40:25.079 --> 00:40:27.079 the situation changed, right? 826 00:40:27.079 --> 00:40:29.520 Because only Dell can provide 827 00:40:29.520 --> 00:40:31.640 the personalized computer for us 828 00:40:31.640 --> 00:40:34.040 So in this case, who has a power? 829 00:40:34.040 --> 00:40:37.280 Yes, of course, Dell has a power 830 00:40:37.280 --> 00:40:38.479 over the consumer 831 00:40:38.479 --> 00:40:42.359 So the consumer's power relatively low, right? 832 00:40:42.359 --> 00:40:44.560 So from high to middle 833 00:40:44.560 --> 00:40:45.800 What about suppliers? 834 00:40:45.800 --> 00:40:48.500 Yes, probably Dell should get 835 00:40:48.500 --> 00:40:50.800 the Intel microprocessor 836 00:40:50.839 --> 00:40:54.520 and also Dell should adopt the 837 00:40:54.520 --> 00:40:58.160 Microsoft Window program as operating system 838 00:40:58.160 --> 00:41:00.079 Yes, the situation same, 839 00:41:00.079 --> 00:41:03.779 but Dell's consumers 840 00:41:03.779 --> 00:41:06.029 are not just individual home market 841 00:41:06.199 --> 00:41:08.149 Dell's consumers are 842 00:41:08.149 --> 00:41:10.719 big company or big university 843 00:41:10.719 --> 00:41:13.599 So that has a bargaining power 844 00:41:13.599 --> 00:41:15.839 Bargaining power over suppliers 845 00:41:15.839 --> 00:41:18.680 Hey, Microsoft, we have a lot of consumers 846 00:41:18.680 --> 00:41:20.199 We have big consumers 847 00:41:20.199 --> 00:41:24.560 We cannot make consumers disappointed 848 00:41:24.560 --> 00:41:26.239 And also we have bargaining power 849 00:41:26.239 --> 00:41:30.599 So please cut the prices and please deliver fast 850 00:41:30.599 --> 00:41:33.239 So please make our order priority 851 00:41:33.239 --> 00:41:34.560 So in this case 852 00:41:34.560 --> 00:41:38.239 supplier power is kind of decreased dramatically 853 00:41:38.239 --> 00:41:42.239 So the supplier power can be middle or kind of high 854 00:41:42.239 --> 00:41:43.079 And substitute, 855 00:41:43.079 --> 00:41:45.000 and there is not too many substitute over there 856 00:41:45.000 --> 00:41:47.280 So substitute power would be middle 857 00:41:47.280 --> 00:41:49.719 So we can make those 858 00:41:49.719 --> 00:41:52.760 those words to the numbers 859 00:41:52.760 --> 00:41:54.239 So we can make a number 860 00:41:54.239 --> 00:41:57.160 Do you remember the traditional 861 00:41:57.160 --> 00:41:59.960 PC market, PC industries 862 00:41:59.960 --> 00:42:01.439 546 number? 863 00:42:01.439 --> 00:42:04.400 There was a 20.5 out of 25 864 00:42:04.400 --> 00:42:07.479 Let's calculate Dell's 546 numbers 865 00:42:07.479 --> 00:42:10.529 What about 5.5 and 866 00:42:10.529 --> 00:42:12.479 8.5, 10.5? 867 00:42:13.000 --> 00:42:14.719 Yes, around 14, right? 868 00:42:14.719 --> 00:42:17.319 Think about it, 14 out of 25 869 00:42:17.319 --> 00:42:18.760 Less than half 870 00:42:18.760 --> 00:42:22.319 A little bit half, a little bit half 871 00:42:22.319 --> 00:42:24.520 And compared to the traditional 546, 872 00:42:24.520 --> 00:42:27.319 traditional 546 have 20.5 873 00:42:27.319 --> 00:42:30.330 And we have, we have how much? 874 00:42:30.380 --> 00:42:32.160 14, right? 875 00:42:32.160 --> 00:42:35.520 14 out of 25, 14, 20.5 876 00:42:35.520 --> 00:42:37.959 So Dell has 877 00:42:37.959 --> 00:42:40.880 Dell's 546 has less numbers 878 00:42:40.880 --> 00:42:42.160 Less powerful 879 00:42:42.160 --> 00:42:46.160 The rule of thumb is the more powerful the forces, 880 00:42:46.160 --> 00:42:48.160 the less attractive to you 881 00:42:48.160 --> 00:42:50.599 In other words, the less powerful forces, 882 00:42:50.599 --> 00:42:51.959 the more attractive to you 883 00:42:52.599 --> 00:42:56.680 So in this case, Dell's 546 has less powerful, right? 884 00:42:56.680 --> 00:42:59.079 It is all because of Dell's unique position 885 00:42:59.959 --> 00:43:03.800 So as a startup 886 00:43:03.800 --> 00:43:08.760 when you decide to enter a certain kind of industry, 887 00:43:08.760 --> 00:43:10.280 then first thing to do, 888 00:43:10.280 --> 00:43:13.880 you need to analyze the industry's attractiveness 889 00:43:13.880 --> 00:43:16.119 based on Porter's 546 890 00:43:16.119 --> 00:43:19.760 You can easily assess the relationship, right? 891 00:43:19.760 --> 00:43:23.079 Then later, you need to find out the unique position 892 00:43:23.079 --> 00:43:24.680 in a given industry 893 00:43:24.680 --> 00:43:27.079 Although you assess your industry 894 00:43:27.079 --> 00:43:29.520 and you got huge number, 895 00:43:29.520 --> 00:43:33.640 then, do not be panic 896 00:43:33.640 --> 00:43:35.239 Do not be panic 897 00:43:35.239 --> 00:43:39.160 Then you need to find out any unique position 898 00:43:39.160 --> 00:43:42.479 available out there like Dell 899 00:43:42.479 --> 00:43:44.079 Then once you, 900 00:43:44.079 --> 00:43:45.959 if you find out unique position, 901 00:43:45.959 --> 00:43:48.959 then you have incentive to join the market 902 00:43:48.959 --> 00:43:52.359 and you can have competitive advantage 903 00:43:52.359 --> 00:43:55.239 in a given poor performing industry, okay? 904 00:43:55.239 --> 00:43:59.239 This is what the startup founders should do, 905 00:43:59.239 --> 00:44:01.680 in terms of the industry analysis 906 00:44:01.680 --> 00:44:03.719 and market analysis 907 00:44:03.719 --> 00:44:04.920 Thank you for listening